Publications


Peer-reviewed journal articles

Google Scholar Profile

[41] Geyle,H., Guillera-Arroita, G., Davies, H., Firth, R., Woinarski, J., Murphy, B., Nimmo, D., Ritchie, E., Nicholson, E. (accepted) Towards meaningful monitoring: a case study of a threatened rodent. Austral Ecology

[40] Guillera-Arroita, G., Kéry, M., Lahoz-Monfort, J.J., (accepted) Inferring species richness using multispecies occupancy modelling: estimation performance and interpretation. Ecology & Evolution.

[39] Junaedi, D.I., McCarthy, M.A., Guillera-Arroita, G., Catford, J.A., Burgman, M.A. (accepted) Traits influence detection of exotic plant species in tropical forests, PLoS ONE

[38] Dormann, C.F., Calabrese, J.M., Guillera-Arroita. G., Matechou, E., Bahn, V., Bartón, K., Beale, C.M., Ciuti, S., Elith, J., Gerstner, K., Guelat, J., Keil, P., Lahoz-Monfort, J.J., Lennon, J.J., Pollock, L.J., Reineking, B., Roberts, D., Schröder, B., Thuiller, W., Warton, D.I., Wintle, B.A., Wood, S., Wüest, R.O., Hartig, F. (in press) Model averaging in ecology: a review of Bayesian, information-theoretic and tactical approaches. Ecological Monographs

[37] Deere, N. J., Guillera-Arroita, G., Baking, E. L., Bernard, H., Pfeifer, M., Reynolds, G., Reynolds, G., Wearn, O.R., Davies, Z.G. and Struebig, M. J. (2018). High Carbon Stock forests provide co-benefits for tropical biodiversity. Journal of Applied Ecology, 55(2), 997–1008. doi:10.1111/1365-2664.13023

[36] Gálvez, N., Guillera-Arroita, G., St. John, F. A. V., Schüttler, E., Macdonald, D. W., & Davies, Z. G. (2018). A spatially integrated framework for assessing socioecological drivers of carnivore decline. Journal of Applied Ecology, 55 (3), 1393-1405, doi:10.1111/1365-2664.13072

[35] Guillera-Arroita, G. and Lahoz-Monfort, J.J. (2017) Species occupancy estimation and imperfect detection: shall surveys continue after the first detection? Advances in Statistical Analysis, doi: 10.1007/s10182-017-0292-5  **INVITED PAPER**

[34] Guillera-Arroita, G., Lahoz-Monfort, J.J., van Rooyen, A.R., Weeks, A.R., Tingley, R. (2017) Dealing with false positive and false negative errors about species occurrence at multiple levels. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 8, 1081-1091

[33] Roberts, D.R., Bahn. V., Ciuti, S., Boyce, M.S., Elith, E., Guillera-Arroita, G., Hauenstein, S., Lahoz-Monfort, J.J., Schröder, B., Thuiller, W., Warton, D.I., Wintle, B.A., Hartig, F., Dormann, C.F. (2017) Cross-validation strategies for data with temporal, spatial, hierarchical, or phylogenetic structure. Ecography, 40, 913-929

[32] Marques, T. A., Thomas, L., Kéry, M., Buckland, S. T., Borchers, D. L., Rexstad, E., Fewster, R.M., MacKenzie, D.I., Royle, J.A., Guillera‐Arroita, G., Handel, C.M., Pavlacky Jr, D.C., Camp, R. J. (2017). Model‐based approaches to deal with detectability: a comment on Hutto (2016). Ecological Applications, 27(5), 1694–1698. doi:10.1002/eap.1553

[31] Warton, D. I., Stoklosa, J., Guillera‐Arroita, G., MacKenzie, D. I., & Welsh, A. H. (2017). Graphical diagnostics for occupancy models with imperfect detection. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 8(4), 408–419. doi:10.1111/2041-210X.12761

[30] Guillera-Arroita, G. (2017) Modelling of species distributions, range dynamics and communities under imperfect detection: advances, challenges and opportunities, Ecography, 40, 281-295

[29] Gálvez, N., Guillera-Arroita, G., Morgan, B. J. T., & Davies, Z. G. (2017). Cost-efficient effort allocation for camera-trap occupancy surveys of mammals. Biological Conservation, 204, 350-359 doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2016.10.019

[28] Beissinger, S. R., Iknayan, K. J., Guillera-Arroita, G., Zipkin, E. F., Dorazio, R. M., Royle, J. A., & Kéry, M. (2016). Incorporating Imperfect Detection into Joint Models of Communities: A response to Warton et al. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 31(10), 736–737. doi:10.1016/j.tree.2016.07.009

[27] Canessa, S., Guillera-Arroita, G., Lahoz-Monfort, J.J., Southwell, D., Amstrong, D., Chades, I., Lacy, R., Miller, P.R. and Converse, S.J. (2016) Adaptive management for improving species conservation across the captive-wild spectrum, Biological Conservation, 199, 123-131

[26] Woolley, S., Tittensor, D.P., Dunstan, P.K., Guillera-Arroita, G.,  Lahoz-Monfort, J.J., Wintle, B.A., Worm, B., and O’Hara, T.D. (2016) Deep-sea diversity patterns shaped by energy availability, Nature, 533, 393–396

[25] Lahoz-Monfort, J.J., Guillera-Arroita, G. and Tingley, R.T. (2016) Statistical approaches to account for false positive errors in environmental DNA samples, Molecular Ecology Resources, 16, 673–685

[24] Canessa, S., Guillera-Arroita, G., Lahoz-Monfort, J.J., Southwell, D., Amstrong, D., Chades, I., Lacy, R. and Converse, S.J. (2015) When do we need more data? A primer on calculating the value of information for applied ecologists, Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 6, 1219–1228 (link)

[23] Bardos, D., Guillera-Arroita, G. and Wintle, B.A. (2015) Valid auto-models for spatially autocorrelated occupancy and abundance data, Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 6, 1137-1149 (link)

[22] Guillera-Arroita, G., Lahoz-Monfort, J.J., McCarthy, M.A., Wintle, B.A. (2015) Threatened species impact assessments: survey effort requirements based on criteria for cumulative impacts, Diversity and Distributions, 21, 620-630

[21] Guillera-Arroita, G., Lahoz-Monfort, J.J., Elith, J., Gordon, A, Kujala, K, Lentini, P.E., McCarthy, M.A., Tingley, R., Wintle, B.A. (2015) Is my species distribution model fit for purpose? Matching data and models to applications, Global Ecology and Biogeography, 24, 276-292

[20] McGrath, T., Guillera-Arroita, G., Lahoz-Monfort, J.J., Hunter D., Osborne W., Sarre S. (2015) Accounting for detectability when surveying for rare or declining reptiles, Biological Conservation, 182, 53-62

[19] Guillera-Arroita, G., Lahoz-Monfort, J.J., Elith, J. (2014) Maxent is not a presence-absence method: a comment on Thibaud et alMethods in Ecology and Evolution, 5, 1192-1197

[18] Lahoz-Monfort, J.J., Guillera-Arroita, G., Hauser, C.E. (2014) From planning to implementation: explaining connections between adaptive management and population models. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 2, 60

[17] Guillera-Arroita, G., Lahoz-Monfort, J.J., MacKenzie, D.I., Wintle, B.A. and McCarthy, M.A. (2014). Ignoring imperfect detection in biological surveys is dangerous: a response to ‘Fitting and Interpreting Occupancy Models’. PLoS ONE, 9(7): e99571 (link)

[16] Guillera-Arroita, G., Ridout, M.S. and Morgan, B.J.T. (2014). Two-stage Bayesian study design for species occupancy estimation. Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, 19, 278-291  **AWARD: BEST 2014 JABES PAPER** (-> check out this video about the paper!!)

[15] Guillera-Arroita, G., Hauser, C.E. and McCarthy, M.A. (2014). Optimal surveillance strategy for invasive species management when surveys stop after detection. Ecology and Evolution, 4, 1751–1760

[14] Lahoz-Monfort, J.J., Guillera-Arroita, G. and Wintle B.A. (2014) Imperfect detection impacts the performance of species distribution models, Global Ecology and Biogeography, 23, 504-515  (-> check out this video about the paper!!)

[13] Kéry, M., Guillera-Arroita, G., Lahoz-Monfort, J.J. (2013) Analysing and mapping species range dynamics using occupancy models, Journal of Biogeography, 40(8), 1463-1474

[12] Linkie, M., Guillera-Arroita, G., Smith, J. and others (2013) Cryptic mammals caught on camera: Assessing the utility of range wide camera trap data for conserving the endangered Asian tapir, Biological Conservation, 162, 107-115

[11] Sewell, D., Guillera-Arroita, G., Griffiths, R.A. and Beebee, T.J.C. (2012) When Is a Species Declining? Optimizing Survey Effort to Detect Population Changes in Reptiles, PLoS One, 7(8): e43387

[10] Guillera-Arroita, G. and Lahoz-Monfort, J.J. (2012) Designing studies to detect changes in species occupancy: power analysis under imperfect detection, Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 3, 860-869

[9] Guillera-Arroita, G., Morgan, B.J.T., Ridout, M.S. and Linkie, M. (2012) Models for species detection data collected along transects in presence of abundance-induced heterogeneity and clustering in the detection process. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 3, 358-367

[8] Wibisono, H., Linkie, M., Guillera-Arroita, G., Lahoz-Monfort, J.J. and others. (2011) Population status of a cryptic top predator: An island-wide assessment of tigers in Sumatran rainforests. PLoS One, 6(11): e25931, 2011

[7] Guillera-Arroita, G. (2011). Impact of sampling with replacement in occupancy studies with spatial replication. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 2, 401-406

[6] Guillera-Arroita, G., Morgan, B.J.T., Ridout, M.S. and Linkie, M. (2011). Species occupancy modelling for detection data collected along a transect. Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, 3, 301-317  **AWARD: YOUNG BIOMETRICIAN IBS-BIR (honourable mention) **

[5] Linkie, M., Guillera-Arroita, G., Smith, J.A. and Rayan, M. (2010) Monitoring tigers with confidence. Integrative Zoology, 5, 336-344

[4] Guillera-Arroita, G., Ridout, M.S. and Morgan, B.J.T. (2010) Design of occupancy studies with imperfect detection. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 1, 131-139

[3] Lahoz-Monfort, J.J., Guillera-Arroita, G., Milner-Gulland, E.J., Young, R.P. and Nicholson, E. (2010) Satellite imagery as a single source of predictor variables for habitat suitability modelling: how Landsat can inform the conservation of a critically endangered lemur. Journal of Applied Ecology, 47, 1094–1102

[2] Guillera-Arroita, G., Lahoz-Monfort, J.J., Milner-Gulland, E.J., Young, R.P. and Nicholson, E. (2010) Using occupancy as a state variable for monitoring the Critically Endangered Alaotran gentle lemur Hapalemur alaotrensis. Endangered Species Research, 11, 157-166

[1] Guillera-Arroita, G., Lahoz-Monfort, J.J., Milner-Gulland, E.J., Young, R.P. and Nicholson, E. (2010) Monitoring and conservation of the critically endangered Alaotran gentle lemur Hapalemur alaotrensis. Madagascar Conservation and Development, 5, 2, 103-109


Journal articles for review


Other publications

Bardos, D., Guillera-Arroita, G. and Wintle, B.A. (2015) Covariate influence in spatially autocorrelated occupancy and abundance data, arXiv preprint arXiv:1502.06530

Canessa, S., Guillera-Arroita, G., Lahoz-Monfort, J.J., Southwell, D., Converse, S. (2014) Adaptive management for species reintroductions. Decision Point, 80, 13

Guillera-Arroita, G., Lahoz-Monfort, J.J. (2014) Now you see me, now you don’t. The impact of imperfect detection on species distribution modeling. Decision Point, 77, 6-7 [pdf]

Guillera-Arroita, G. (2012) Occupancy modelling: study design and models for data collected along transects. PhD thesis. 

Guillera-Arroita, G. (2008) Occupancy and detectability of Hapalemur alaotrensis. Recommendations for monitoring. MSc thesis.

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